UFC
Favorite Fighter Index
Backs the betting favorite to win in every UFC bout on the card.
Backtested and allocation-capped — a historical result, never a promised edge.
Live · strategy average · 6 picks, equal-weightedCurrent price: Polymarket US
Equal-weighted average of every pick's real odds. Each range shows whoever was actually favored at ITS start, tracked through to now — not today's picks rewound. Not yet weighted by real dollars, since no position is bought into this strategy today; once a real purchase exists, this line becomes that position's real dollar value over time instead.
Live price for every market this strategy currently tracks — each line is one selection.
| Market | Implied odds |
|---|---|
| UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | 73.0%US |
| UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | 56.0%US |
| UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) | 70.0%US |
| UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) | 92.0%US |
| UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | 70.0%US |
| UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) | 66.0%US |
Rows marked US are real Polymarket US quotes; the rest are Polymarket (gamma-api + CLOB). Refreshed at most every 60 seconds. Prices are market odds, not a recommendation.
Real backtest, 15% allocation cap · UFC · bankroll reset to $10,000 each period.
- Sport / competition
- UFC
- Years tested
- UFC 324
- Total qualifying bets
- 10
- Hit rate
- 92.9%
- Average odds
- 1.52
- Average per-period ROI
- 66.7%
- Recommended allocation cap
- 15%
HISTORICAL BACKTEST — NOT A GUARANTEE. Past hit rate and odds do not predict future results.
Choosing your own cap is coming soon — every strategy trades at its backtested recommendation for now.
Historical, not a guarantee — real results will differ.
Connect your account to tradeReal orders on Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated exchange. Your funds stay in your own venue account — Alto never holds them, and nothing here is advice.